Consumer confidence came out on October 29th and the index dipped down to 38.0 from 61.4 in Septebmer. The month to month decline is the third largest in the history of the reading and the overall score is the lowest reading ever recorded. The Expectations index also took a dive to 35.5 as consumers don’t see an immediate turn around in the future.
This reaffirms my belief that October retail sales will be horrific. I bet we have a month to month decline of about 3-4%, I think it will surprise on the downside (if that’s possible these days). Retail businesses are already cutting back inventories and definitely cutting back hiring. Unemployment will definitely rise to close to 8% in the next couple months from the 6.5% or so that it’s at now.
At least oil is in free fall, I saw gas prices of $2.49 the other night that was a sight for sore eyes.
